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Country's FDI Inflow Declines By 38% In
July (17-Sep-2011)
India's foreign direct
investment (FDI) for July plunged by 38% to $1.09 billion from $1.78
in July 2010. The foreign capital inflows have shown decline for
the first time in current financial year. However, FDI inflow for
the first four months of current fiscal increased by 92% to $14.45
billion from $7.56 billion in the same period of last fiscal.
The sectors like services, construction
activities, power, computers and hardware, telecommunications
and housing and real estate attracted maximum FDI. During June,
the FDI inflows had surged by 310% to 11-year monthly record of
$5.65 billion, and in May it had increased by 111% to $4.66 billion
over the same month last year.
In the first six month of current calendar
year, foreign investment surged by 57% to $16.83 billion. Despite
the uncertainties in the global economy, India's FDI inflow is
expected to reach $35 billion from $19.4 billion in the last financial
year, on account of major deal like RIL-BP and Posco.
In the last two financial years, India
has been witnessing slowdown in FDI inflow. For the 2010-11, FDI
declined by 25% to $19.43 billion from $25.6 billion in 2009-10,
and in 2008-09 FDI stood at $27.3 billion. Counties like Mauritius,
Singapore, the US, UK, Netherlands, Japan, Germany and the UAE
are the major source of FDI.
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RBI's Hike Is Within Range That Is Not
Unreasonable: Ahluwalia (17-Sep-2011)
Stating Reserve Bank of India's move of increasing
its short term lending and borrowing rates by 25 basis points, signal
to bring inflation under control. The Planning Commission Deputy
Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia on September 16 said 'RBI is signaling
their concern about bringing inflation under control. It (inflation)
is high. The rate hike is within a range that is not unreasonable.'
The RBI's move of increasing key rates by 25 basis points was
expected as headline inflation remains at elevated level from
last few months. The headline inflation for the month of August
surged to 9.78% from 9.22% in July and it has been hovering above
9% from last 9 months. However, the RBI's decision of increasing
repo and reverse repo rate is expected to affect the growth in
sectors like auto and other interest sensitive sectors.
Ahluwalia is hopeful that the inflation in domestic economy will
come down as prices in international market are declining on the
back of sluggish global economy and good harvest expected in this
year.
'I think on the supply side also good harvest will have positive
effect. My guess is that the global transmission of inflation
will also be much less. Taking all things together, I think, the
inflation will moderate', Ahluwalia said.
On the impact of depreciation in Indian rupee against dollar
on Indian economy, Ahluwalia said "the foreign reserves are
very high so I dont see any panic effect because of low rupee".
On September 15, rupee fell to its two year low level to Rs 48
to per dollar. However, it gained 12 paise and stood at Rs 47.43
to a dollar after the intervention by RBI.
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1,100 Items Entitled To Lower Tax Refunds
From October 1 Under DDS (16-Sep-2011)
As a hindrance to exporters,
shipments of 1,100 items will be entitled to lower tax refunds under
the Duty Drawback Scheme (DDS), which will be operational from October
1. This new scheme will replace the Duty Entitlement Pass Book (DEPB)
scheme which is expiring on September 30. However, the tax refunds
on these items would be reduced by 1-3%.The Finance Secretary R
S Gujral said that 'as a transitory arrangement, these items will
suffer a modest reduction in the existing DEPB rate to the extent
of 1-3 percent.'
While, tax incentives for these goods will
be available under the DDS, the total number of items in the DDS
would increase to around 4,000 items from current 2,825 items.
Whereas different routes are available for exporters for refund
of the duties, the DEPB is most preferred avenue for tax refunds,
for its flexibility and attractive rates, which average to around
8%.
With the withdrawal of the DEPB scheme,
the government is expected to lose less revenue. Last years, the
government had spend around Rs 8,700 crore on DEPB tax refunds
and main beneficiary products are engineering, chemical, pharma,
textile and marine. As the DEPB is expiring by end of September,
the government has decided to provide a smooth transition for
these products, while including in DDS. Along with this, the tax
refunds for this item have also been reduced in DDS.
'The reduction is mainly on account of
the reduction in basic customs duty on crude petroleum from 5
per cent to nil as well as a reduction in central excise duty
on diesel from Rs 4.4 per litre to Rs 2.4 per litre,' CBEC S D
Majumdar said.
Of the 1,100 being shifted to DDS, there
would be a ceiling of 5.5% tax refund rate on 660 items. Although,
the limit would not apply to 340 items like worsted woollen yarn,
blanket, nylong twine, cut polished chat stones, polyester metalized
film. However, performance of exports has been impressive in the
first five months of the 2011-12. Exports grew by 54.2% to $134.5
billion. But on the back of slowdown in Eurozone and US, exports
may not be able to sustain the momentum.
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Aggravating Debt May Lead AEs To Interest Rate
And Growth Shocks-IMF (13-Sep-2011)
The recent exacerbating of the
debt outlook in advanced economies AEs reflects a number of factors, including
a sharp deterioration of fiscal balances during the crisis and, in some
cases, government intervention in the banking sector. This deterioration
is in addition to the long-term spending pressures related to population
aging, said, International Monetary Fund (IMF).
The fiscal policy stance can be regarded as unsustainable
if, in the absence of adjustment, sooner or later the government would
not be able to service its debt. If no realistic fiscal adjustment can
prevent this situation from arising, not only fiscal policy, but also
public debt would be unsustainable.
The higher the level of public debt, the more
likely it is that fiscal policy and public debt are unsustainable. This
is because other things equal a higher debt requires a higher primary
surplus to sustain it. Moreover, higher debt ratios are usually associated
with higher interest rates (and possibly lower growth), thus requiring
an even higher primary balance to service it, stated IMF in a report.
So, countries with a high debt level are more exposed to interest and
growth shocks.
The risk of a rollover crisis depends on the
size of borrowing requirements and hence on the level of the fiscal
deficit (which depends in part on the level of the debt, through the
size of the interest bill) and the composition of the debt (e.g., short
maturities) and investor base (e.g., a high share of externally-held
debt).
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Declining IIP And Eurozone Crisis Matter
Of Concern: FM (13-Sep-2011)
Worried over the Eurozone
crisis, poor industrial performance and depreciation of rupee, Finance
Minister Pranab Mukherjee said that the global community can't afford
to lose its nerve and will have to deal collectively with the situation.
The finance minister said, "A series
of bad news are coming. First we had the IIP index (at 3.3% in
July) lowest in two years... and (second) lengthening shadow of
the Eurozone crisis all over the market in the world is matter
of concern. But at the same time, we cannot lose our nerve".
Stating, hovering commodity and food prices
as threat to growth and food security in energy depended emerging
economy, finance minister asked for a collective global action
to overcome the crisis. Finance Minister said the growth in most
advanced economies has declined in the second quarter of 2011
and emerging markets are witnessing a combination of moderation
in growth and rising inflation.
Finance Minister's comment came just after
the day the India's industrial production plunged to 21 month
low level of 3.3% in July, a day before the announcement of August
month's inflation data. On the global front the possibility of
a sovereign debt default by Greece has increased significantly.
The adverse development in the Greece has made panic across the
globe.
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India's Steel Production Increases By
10% In April To August 2011 (13-Sep-2011)
During April to August
2011, India's steel production increased by 10% to 29.06 million
tonne from 26.45 million tonne in April to August 2010. As per the
provisional estimates by the steel ministry, during the period under
review, steel consumption increased by 1.3% to 28 million tonne.
India's exports of steel for the April
to August 2011 increased by 56.7% to 1.82 million tonne from 1.16
million tonne in April to August 2010, however, imports during
the same period declined by 45% to 2.27 million tonne from 4.12
million tonne in the corresponding period of last year.
The production of carbon or non-alloy steel
during first five month of 2011-12 increased by 9.1% to 27 million
tonne compared to 24.7 million tonne in April to August 2010,
whereas production of alloy steel increased by 21.5% to 2 million
tonnes in April to August 2011. In April to August 2011, India
pig iron production increased by 1.4% to 2.4 million tonne whereas
consumption increased by 1.7% to 2.2 million tonne.
In April to August 2011, the production
of main producers like SAIL, RINL and Tata Steel grew by 3.6%
to 7.4 million tonne. The Tata Steel registered highest growth,
its production increased by 10.7% to 2.26 million tonne, whereas
SAIL's production grew by 2.5% to 4.1 million tonne. However,
RINL production declined by 5.3% to 1.1 million tonne.
Other major producers including JSW Steel,
Essar Steel and JSPL's collective production increased by 9.7%
to 8.1 million tonne. The smaller firms also registered healthy
growth in April to August 2011 and their production grew by 9.4%
to 25.5 million tonne.
The consumption of steel is viewed as key
indicator of economic activities, the slower pace of growth in
the consumption of this key metal, especially by sectors like,
automobiles, construction and consumer durables, conform the slowdown
in pace of growth.
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Ministry Of Telecom Approves Draft NFAP-2011
(13-Sep-2011)
The Ministry of Telecom
has given in-principle approval to the draft National Frequency
Allocation Plan-2011 (NFAP) which seeks to improve efficiency in
management of spectrum and higher mobile penetration in rural areas.
The plan intends to increase domestic manufacturing of telecom equipment
and efficient utilization of spectrum. In March 2011, the draft
of NFAP was made by the Wireless Planning Commission (WPC), the
spectrum allocation wing of Department of Telecom (DoT). Within
a month, the draft will be submitted to a Group of Ministers and
then it will be send to the cabinet for approval.
Several government departments, telecom
operators and telecom industrial bodies have expressed disagreement
to the DoT on various clauses in the NFAP 2011. However, the final
draft has rejected the concerns raised by these organizations
as DoT feels that the concerns raised by these organizations don't
have technical and regulatory base.
The telecom operators and industrial bodies
such as COAI and AUSPI had opposed the recommendation that some
spectrum in frequency bands of 900, 1,400, 1,800 and 1,900 Mhz
should be kept aside for companies to give wireless services using
technology and systems developed by indigenous players. The Ministry
of Information and Broadcasting (I&B) had also raised concerns
over the suggestion to allocate 700 Mhz band for mobile and wireless
broadband service. The 700 Mhz spectrum band was earlier mainly
marked for broadcasting services.
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The New UCBs To Open Banks And Branches
In Unbanked Areas: RBI Panel (13-Sep-2011)
The Reserve Bank of India's
expert committee on licensing of New Urban Co-Operative Banks (UCBs)
headed by Y M Melegam suggested that the new entrants should be
encouraged to open banks and branches in unbanked or inadequately
banked areas.
"UCBs play a useful role and there
is need for a greater presence of UCBs in unbanked districts and
in centers having population less than 5 lakh. It is necessary
to encourage new entrants to open banks and branches in States
and Districts which are unbanked or inadequately banked. It is
equally necessary to discourage new entrants from opening branches
in Districts and population centers which are already adequately
banked", the RBI expert committee said.
On the issue of the preference for the
licenses, the RBI Panel said The existing well managed co-operative
credit societies meeting certain financial criteria like profits,
capital adequacy, NPAs proportion etc. should be given priority
for granting licenses as urban co-operative banks particularly
in unbanked or inadequately banked centers.
For the capital requirement of the New
UCBs, the RBI expert committee recommended minimum paid up capital
range from Rs 50 lakhs to Rs 5 crore depending on the area of
operation. For the UBCs which wish to operate in more than one
State after five years of successful operations, RBI committee
suggested a minimum paid capital of Rs 5 crore.
On the issue of the organization structure
of UCBs the panel suggested that there should be segregation of
the ownership of the UCB as a co-operative society from its functioning
as a bank. The new organization structure shall consist of a Board
of Management in addition to the Board of Directors. The Board
of Directors (BoD) would be elected in accordance with the provisions
of the respective Co-Operative Societies Acts.
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No Performance Guarantee Needed For Cotton
Exports: DGFT (13-Sep-2011)
Providing relief to the
cotton exporters, the government on September 12 said that they
will no longer have to provide bank guarantees for registration
of export contract. The relaxation will be available to exporters
from October 1. The Directorate General of Foreign Trade (DGFT)
in its notification said that the export of cotton will continue
to be free, subject to registration of contracts with the DGFT.
However, performance guarantee will no longer be required.'
Earlier, an exporter had to put forward
a performance guarantee in the form of a bank guarantee for 2.5%
of the value of cotton to be exported, or for Rs 1 lakh, whichever
was more. Further to export cotton, the trader has to register
the contract with the DGFT and execute the shipment within 30
days.
Following the surge in cotton prices in
the domestic market, the government had earlier imposed ban on
cotton exports. However, after getting criticized by Ministry
of Agriculture and by many state Chief Ministers, last month,
the government removed restrictions from exports of natural fibre
and put cotton on Open General License (OGL).
As per the Cotton Advisory Board, the domestic
production of cotton for the next season is pegged at 35.5 million
bales from 32.5 million bales in the current season. Against this
India's consumption of cotton are around 26.4 million bales, leaving
room for exports.
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Industrial Growth Projections For FY12
Will Have To Be Revisited: C Rangarajan (12-Sep-2011)
Stating July's industrial
growth figure as disappointing pace of expansion, the Chairman of
Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) C Rangarajan
said, industrial growth projections for the current fiscal will
have to be revisited in the wake of 'disappointing' pace of expansion
in the factory output, which plunged in July to 3.3%.
After the release of the Index of Industrial
Production (IIP), Rangarajan said, 'it is a disappointing number.
One had expected that industrial production will be slightly higher
than this.' India's industrial growth measured by IIP plunged
to 3.3% in July, which is almost two years lowest level, on the
back of poor performance by manufacturing, mining and capital
goods segments.
The manufacturing segment declined to 2.3%
in July from 10.8% in July 2010. The capital good segment witnessed
negative growth during July and it declined by 15.2% reflecting
eroding investors confidence. Industrial growth during the April-July
2011-12, also shows moderation in growth, it fell to 5.8% in April-July
2011 from 9.7% in same period of last fiscal year.
On the issue of revision in the industrial
growth target he said 'as regards the estimate of industrial production
for the year as a whole, we will have to revisit the area after
one or two months.' In PMEAC's Economic Outlook, PMEAC had projected
industry to grow by 7.1% in 2011-12. On the other hand, the government
in February had projected to grow by 8.6% in current fiscal. During
2010-11, IIP had grown by 7.8%.
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CAG Seeks Powers To Audit Performance
Of SEBI, TRAI And IRDA (12-Sep-2011)
The government auditor,
the Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) is seeking to expand the
scope of its powers to evaluate performance of the regulators like
Security Exchange Board of India (SEBI), Telecom Regulatory Authority
of India (TRAI) and Insurance regulatory and Development Authority
(IRDA) as a part of the new legislation which will replace the CAG
Act, 1971. As per the government official, the CAG is looking into
the books of regulators like TRAI, SEBI and IRDA, but wants to audit
their performance too.
The CAG has submitted the draft bill to
the ministry of finance, which is considering the proposed CAG
bill, and it is likely to be tabled in Parliament's next session.
The new law is aimed at significantly expanding the scope of the
CAG's audit responsibilities. The government official said, 'we
are looking at auditing the regulators. We have asked in the draft
Bill to replace the CAG Act of 1971 to allow audit of the financial
(statements) and performance of regulators and Public-Private
Partnership (PPPs). We are hoping that the Bill would be tabled
in the winter session.'
The draft bill submitted by CAG is expected
to have provisions for punitive actions against the companies
which delay submission of details asked by the CAG. 'We do not
have powers to ensure that records are presented to us as and
when we ask for it... We do not have punitive powers and our resources
are limited,' he added.
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India To Invest Around $1 Trillion In
Infrastructure In 12th Five Year Plan: PM (12-Sep-2011)
Prime Minister Manmohan
Singh, emphasizing on good road infrastructure, said that the road
infrastructure was crucial for achieving nine percent growth, targeted
for the next Five Year Plan (2012-13 to 2016-17), and adequate investment
would be made towards that.
However, Prime Minister stressing on transparency
for allocation of projects, insisted that the awards on private
sector were placed in a fair and transparent manner as to dispel
any fear or charges that that the government was resorting to
any form of favouritism or arbitrary decisions.
The Prime Minister said, 'Infrastructure
will play a key role in achieving our growth target of nine percent.
Our effort is to double the investment of $500 million in the
11th Five Year plan to around $1 trillion in the 12th plan'.
Speaking at the conference on 'challenges
and opportunities in public-private partnership in national highways
Prime Minister said that it is also necessary to ensure projects
are awarded in a fair and transparent manner to avoid suspicion
of favoritism'.
As per the Road Transport and Highways
Minister C.P. Joshi, by the end of this year, government will
award contracts under Public Private Partnership to create around
7,800 km of national highways worth around Rs 50,000 crore ($11.1
billion).
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Companies Expect
Manufacturing Growth To Moderate In 2nd Quarter: FICCI Survey (12-Sep-2011)
According to the Federation
of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry's (FICCI) survey, most
companies expects manufacturing sector growth to moderate in the
second quarter of this financial year. Response from 324 manufacturing
companies were taken, which showed that the around 74% of the respondents
expect slowdown in growth in July-September 2011 from the same period
of last fiscal. The chamber presented the findings to validate its
appeal to the Reserve Bank of India not to raise policy rates any
further.
According to the survey, around 7 out of
12 sectors were likely to experience moderation in growth rate
in the second quarter from the corresponding period of last year.
These sectors are consumer durables, cement, steel, textiles,
chemicals, capital goods and tyres. However, sectors such as automobiles,
auto components, leather and food processing are expected to achieve
growth rate of more than 10% in the July-September 2011 from July-September
2010.
As per the survey, the respondents felt
that the moderation in growth were because of two factors such
as increase in the cost of capital and increase in prices of raw
material. Around 75% respondent said raise in policy rates had
significantly affected on their cost of borrowing. Because of
tight monetary policy, the Chamber also expects surge in the bank's
weighted average base rates to 10% mark for the first time.
It also stated that there would be a significant
change in the demand conditions for the manufacturing sector in
the second quarter, compared to previous quarters. Only 38% respondent
said they have received higher orders from the first quarter.
This moderation in the demand is also reflected in the fact that
in June, growth of consumer goods had declined to 1.65%, which
is the second lowest growth from October 2009. 'The situation
is indeed serious and unless corrective measures are not taken
to reverse this trend, we may see an impact on employment,' FICCI
said.
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Banks Witness Decline In Credit Growth
In April-August 2011 (10-Sep-2011)
Banks witnessed moderation
in credit growth, in the first five months of the current financial
year. This decline in loan growth is because of slowdown in the
certain sectors of the economy. As per the Reserve Bank of India
(RBI) data, in April-August 2011, bank loan stood at Rs 1,02,779
crore from Rs 1,09,189 crore in the same period a year ago.
As per the RBI's latest data, the total
bank credit declined by Rs 3,595 crore to Rs 40,44,862 crore till
August 26 compared to the last fortnight. At present levels, the
total loan, which includes loan for food procurement by FCI and
loan for farmers, business and individuals, incremental loan growth
work out to 2.6% from 3.4% in the last year. However, the year-on-year
growth work out to 20.6% compared to 19.5% in last year.
On the other hand, bankers are hopeful
of increase in demand for loan in the second half, when investment
activity in the economy picks up. Bankers see demand for credit
from sectors like mining, and housing infrastructure.
The RBI data on sectoral break-up of bank
loan till July 2011 shows that the credit to agriculture, mid
size corporate, commercial real estate and certain segments like
retail loans for purchase of consumer durables and education loans
has witnessed moderation.
The credit data also support the trend
showed in the real sector. In the meantime, country's forex reserves
increases by $1.6 billion to $320.2 billion on the back of sharp
increase in the value of gold in reserves in the week ended September
2.
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A Rrobust Duty Drawback Scheme Likely To Be In Place By September
30: Sharma (09-Sep-2011)
The Commerce, Industry and Textiles Minister Anand
Sharma met Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee on September 8, to discuss
issues regarding an all India duty drawback rate mechanism that would
seek to compensate exporters from the drawback of removal of Duty Entitlement
Passbook Scheme (DEPB).
The 14 year old tax refund scheme will expire by September 30. Earlier
the tax refund scheme was to end on June 30. However, the finance minister
extended the DEPB dead line to provide additional time for introduction
of alternative scheme. Under the DEPB scheme, exporters are compensated
for custom duty paid on exports.
Anand Sharma said, 'we are discussing as to what should be done in
terms of a robust scheme, which the finance minister had earlier agreed
to in our discussions, which cushioned the adverse impact of the withdrawal
(of DEPB). So, the government is mindful of concerns of the industry
and exporters and will do what is appropriate that exporters and the
industry continue to get additional support. It (DEPB) was to end on
June 30, but after that a sunset window of three months was given. I
am sure by September 30, a robust duty drawback scheme that embraces
all industrial sectors should be in place.'
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Railway Revenue Earnings Up By 10.30 Per
Cent During April- August 2011 (08-Sep-2011)
The total approximate earnings
of Indian Railways on originating basis during 1st April - 31st
August 2011 were Rs. 41030.37 crore compared to Rs. 37198.66 crore
during the same period last year, registering an increase of 10.30
per cent.
The total goods earnings have gone up from
Rs. 24760.02 crore during 1st April - 31st August 2010 to Rs.
27435.82 crore during 1st April - 31st August 2011, an increase
of 10.81 per cent.
The total passenger revenue earnings during
first five months of the financial year 2011-12 were Rs. 11692.45
crore compared to Rs. 10592.02 crore during the same period last
year, registering an increase of 10.39 per cent.
The revenue earnings from other coaching
amounted to Rs. 1152.91 crore during April-August 2011 compared
to Rs. 1028.59 crore during the same period last year, an increase
of 12.09 per cent.
The total approximate number of passengers
booked during April-August 2011 were 3418.13 million compared
to 3252.59 million during the same period last year, showing an
increase of 5.09 per cent. In the suburban and non-suburban sectors,
the number of passengers booked during April-April 2011 were 1707.77
million and 1710.36 million compared to 1640.53 million and 1612.06
million during the same period last year, showing an increase
of 4.10 per cent and 6.10 per cent respectively.
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Revision Of Coal Royalty Is Under Consideration
(08-Sep-2011)
The major coal producing
States such as Jharkhand, Orissa, Chattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh
have requested for fixation of royalty rates on ad-valorem basis.
The proposal is under consideration of
the new Study Group, set up by the Ministry of Coal, to recommend
revision of the royalty rates on coal and lignite. The Study Group
has already collected the views/comments of all the concerned
stakeholders through questionnaires as well as direct meetings.
The said Study Group is presently analyzing various suggestions
received in this regard. The new royalty rates would be notified
by the Government after examining the recommendations of the said
Study Group.
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Food Inflation Moderates To 9.55% For
Week Ended August 27 (08-Sep-2011)
India's food inflation
measured by Wholesale Price Index (WPI) has registered marginal
decline. It moderated to 9.55% for the week ended August 27 from
10.05% in the last week. However, despite the moderation from last
week, the food inflation still continues to hover above 9% for the
fifth consecutive week.
As per the data released by Ministry of
Commerce and Industry, the index for 'Food Articles' group rose
by 0.1% to 195.1 (Provisional) from 195.0 (Provisional) for the
previous week due to higher prices of poultry chicken (3%), moong
(2%) and masur, urad, gram, bajra, arhar, fruits & vegetables,
fish-inland and condiments & spices (1% each). However, the
prices of fish-marine and tea (4% each), maize, pork and ragi
(2% each) and barley (1%) declined.
The index for 'Non-Food Articles' group
rose by 1.1% to 183.3 (Provisional) from 181.3 (Provisional) for
the previous week due to higher prices of flowers (9%), sunflower
(5%), raw rubber (3%), fodder and raw silk (2% each) and gaur
seed, groundnut seed and raw cotton (1% each). However, the prices
of linseed (1%) declined.
As a result, the index for primary articles group which has the
highest weightage of 20.12% in WPI rose by 0.2% to 201.4 (Provisional)
from 200.9 (Provisional) for the previous week. The annual rate
of inflation, calculated on point to point basis, stood at 13.34%
(Provisional) for the week ended August 27 as compared to 12.93%
(Provisional) for the previous week August 20.
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Doha Round Has To Be Taken Forward As
A Single Undertaking: Anand Sharma (06-Sep-2011)
Union Minister for Commerce,
Industry and Textiles Minister Anand Sharma, stressed that protectionist
measures would delay economic recovery and warned against the collapse
of the Doha Round of the World Trade Organization talks. The Doha
Development Agenda or Doha Development round is the current trade
negotiation round of the WTO which began in November 2001.
Sharma said, 'we must not allow this (Doha)
Round to collapse. The Doha Round has to be taken forward as a
single undertaking. We need to stay focused on the development
dimension of the Round, as the terms of the discourse cannot be
changed. Developing countries are being called upon to pay an
unconscionably high price to conclude the Round. This certainly
was not our expectation and our commitment when we agreed to participate
in the Doha Round.'
Minister gave stress on the importance
to sustain people faith in the WTO. He said, 'Many skeptics feel
that the WTO is at the crossroads and that the lack of progress
in the Doha Round raises questions on the relevance and efficacy
of this institution. We do not share this pessimism.' A crisis
might lead to inward-looking and promote protectionism, but it
would be counter-productive and delay the recovery and deepen
recession.
On the decade old negotiation round Sharma
said, 'timely conclusion of the Doha Round of talks, would not
only have strengthened the WTO as a bulwark against protectionism
and boosted the global economy but would also have signaled the
WTO's firm commitment to development.
Accepting the deadlock in the Doha negotiation,
WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy said that with leadership, pragmatism
and determination, 'we should continue' to address various issues
(affecting the negotiations). 'We cannot give up because of a
steep slope or long path. The WTO is a member-driven organization,
and its negotiations are a collective enterprise. Stakeholders
of global trading systems recognize its worth and contribution
in times like these. India is a good example of how trade can
be leveraged to achieve growth and reduce poverty.'
The Doha Round's main object is to reduce
trade barriers around the world. As of now, the negotiations between
developed countries led by US and EU and developing countries
led by BRIC nations including India, have delayed on the major
issues such as agriculture, industrial tariffs and non-tariff
barriers, services, and trade remedies. The international economy
has gone under radical transformation. On this, Commerce Secretary
Rahul Khullar said 'developing countries today are not silent
partners, they are equal partners in the negotiations; you are
going to see developing countries dominating the talks. That is
why, it is important to have a global trading system that is rule-based.'
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Existing SLR, CRR Still Considered High:
D Subbarao (06-Sep-2011)
Expressing concern over
the issue of excess supply of gilts in the secondary market, Reserve
Bank of India's (RBI) Governor Duvvuri Subbarao said, the minimum
mandatory amount of deposits that banks need to set aside to invest
in government bonds need to come down gradually. The RBI has mandated
banks to set aside a portion of their deposits as statutory liquidity
ratio (SLR) or the minimum amount it must hold in gold, cash or
government bonds. Besides this, banks have to set aside a portion
of their deposits as cash with the central bank, a requirement called
the cash reserve ratio.
These reserves can act as a liquidity buffer
for banks during crisis time. While addressing the National Finance
Symposium organized by the Indian Institute of Foreign Trade,
Subbarao said 'SLR at 24 percent, CRR at 6 percent is still considered
high. At some point it (CRR, SLR combined) was 65 percent and
now it is 30 percent.' By adding further he said, it is our objective
in RBI to bring it down but in a calibrated way.
On the back of Governor's statement on
the need to lower SLR on the concerns that such a move may prompt
banks to offload some of their bond holdings. On the other hand,
government bond yields also rose after this statement. The minimum
regulatory requirement acts a captive demand for government bonds.
It is reported that currently banks' overall holding of SLR bonds
is around 29%.
Subbarao said that the SLR requirement
had help protect Indian banks during the global credit crisis
and the new global banking rules under Basel III have a provision
which mimics the SLR rule. However, he also said that some reduction
in the ratio may be needed. 'We should bring it (SLR) down so
that credit is available and so that private sector is not crowded
out,' he added.
He also hinted that the RBI is considering
re-introducing inflation indexed bonds. 'We are looking at reintroducing
inflation indexed bonds. One concern of course is, in a period
of relatively high inflation that we now have, whether it will
be successful. We will think through this, but we will certainly
introduce it,' he said.
The inflation indexed bonds are floating
rate bonds linked to inflation rate and such bonds help investors
to protect their investment from mark-to-market volatility. Yet,
an investor will be interested in buying inflation indexed bonds
only if when they expected inflation to increase further from
the current rate. Last time, in December 2010, the RBI has reduced
SLR by 1% to 24%. Since April 2010, RBI has not touched CRR. It
had increased CRR by 25 basis points to 6%.
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Union Cabinet Approves Draft Land Acquisition
Bill 2011 (06-Sep-2011)
The Draft National Land
Acquisition and Rehabilitation & Resettlement Bill, 2011 proposed
by the Rural Development Ministry is approved by the Union Cabinet.
The cabinet cleared the draft bill without any modifications. The
draft bill is expected to be tabled in parliament on September 7,
after that it may go to Standing Committee.
The draft bill is said to be giving farmers
better deal, whereas it is also expected to help in increasing
industrialization in Asia's third largest economy. The government
and private developers have faced stiff opposition from farmers
over the issue of land acquisition for industrial purpose, which
is seen as one of the biggest hurdle in the country's economic
expansion.
After the cabinet meeting on August 5,
the Rural Development Minister Jairam Ramesh said, 'The Cabinet
has approved the draft Bill'. Once the draft bill becomes an Act,
the proposals made in the draft bill will be implemented with
retrospective effect in case the award has not been made in Land
Acquisition Act, 1894 or possession has not been taken. If the
proposed bill becomes law, the government will not be able to
acquire land for private companies for personal use. Last month,
the draft bill was flouted in public domain for recommendation
and comments.
As per the recommendations, if private
firm is buying land for the public purpose, then it cannot be
used for private use and if the land is not used in five years
for the stated purpose, then it should be returned to the original
owners. The government will also steer clear of acquiring multi-cropped
irrigated land. At present, most of such lands are in northern
states like Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh and Eastern States
like Bihar and West Bengal.
The draft bill also has comprehensive compensation
policy for land-owners and livelihood losers including landless,
especially Scheduled Tribes. As per the recommendations made in
draft bill, for urban areas, it proposes an amount not less than
twice the market rate. In rural areas, the amount should be not
less than four times the original market value.
The draft Bill also seeks to balance the
need for facilitating land acquisition for various public purposes
including infrastructure development, industrialization and urbanization,
while at the same time meaningfully addressing the concerns of
farmers and those whose livelihoods are dependent on the land
being acquired, Jairam said. By adding further he said, the Bill
would enjoy primacy over specialized pieces of legislation such
as for highways, Special Economic Zones, defence and railways.
On the issue of livelihood safeguard, the
draft bill proposes that the consent of 80% of the affected families
be made mandatory if the government acquires land for use by private
firms for public purpose or public-private partnerships, other
than that for national highways. However, the draft bill also
authorizes the government to invoke an 'urgency clause' to acquire
land for national defence and security purposes' R&R needs
in the event of emergencies or natural calamities, and in 'rarest
of rare' cases.
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India's Coffee Exports Surged By 29% In
April To August 2011 (06-Sep-2011)
Despite the slowdown in
European nations, India's coffee exports for the first five months
of current financial year jumped by 29% to 1,68,094 tonnes from
1,30,048 tonnes in the same period of corresponding year. European
nations such as Italy, Germany, Russia, Belgium and Spain are main
destination for the Indian coffee.
As per the Coffee Board data, in April
to August 2011, the realization of coffee price in the April to
August 2011 increased by 37% to Rs. 1,35,737 per tonnes compared
to unit value of Rs. 99,271 per tonnes in the same period last
fiscal.
January to August 2011, India coffee exports
increased by 34% to 2,68,169 tonnes from 2,00,517 tonne sin the
same period of pervious year. In terms of value, coffee exports
surged by 77% to Rs 22,281.66 crore in April to August 2011 from
Rs 1291.01 crore during the same period last year.
During October to August 2010-11, India's
exports increased by 36% to 3,34,031 tonnes from 2,45,061 tonnes
in the last year. Coffee years run from October to September.
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Steps To Meet Growing Power Demand (06-Sep-2011)
Apart from the capacity
addition of 40,831 MW achieved from conventional sources of energy
viz. hydro, thermal and nuclear during the 11th Plan till August
29, 2011, a capacity of 12,401 MW has been added till July, 2011
from renewable energy sources such as small hydro, biomass gas/power,
wind energy etc. during the 11th Plan. Similarly, the new capacity
commissioned by the private sector has increased from 1931 MW during
the 10th Plan to 14,461 MW during the 11th Plan till August 29,
2011.
With a view to achieve sustained Aggregate
Technical & Commercial (AT&C) loss reduction, Government
had initiated Accelerated Power Development & Reforms Programme
(APDRP) in the 10th Plan and launched Restructured Accelerated
Power Development & Reforms Programme (R-APDRP) in July, 2008
during the 11th Plan. Under Part-A of R-APDRP, 1401 projects and
42 projects for Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition System
(SCADA), and under Part-B, 907 projects have been sanctioned.
The schemes sanctioned are under implementation. The national
average of Aggregate Technical & Commercial (AT&C) losses
has reduced from 36.64% in 2002-03 to 27.15% in 2009-10.
In addition to accelerated capacity addition
and reduction in AT&C losses, energy conservation programmes
being implemented during the 11th Plan have also resulted in an
avoided capacity of 7,665 MW till March, 2011.
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India's Textiles Clothing Exports To Tap
$32.35 Billion In FY12 Textiles Minister (06-Sep-2011)
India's export of textiles
and clothing in current financial year are expected to reach $32.35
billion from $26.8 billion achieved in 2010-11. And by the end of
11th five year plan i.e. 2012, domestic textiles industry is expected
to be around $65 billion, textiles minister Anand Sharma said.
Anand Sharma said, 'an exports target of
$32.35 billion has been prescribed for the textiles and clothing
sector for 2011-12. During 2010-11, the textiles sector achieved
an export figure of $26.8 billion.' He also pointed the share
of textiles and clothing as a percentage of the country's overall
export basket decreased from 11.46% in 2008-09 to 10.63% in 2010-11.
With reference to the latest data published
by the World Trade Organization Anand Sharma said the share of
India's textile and clothing exports increased to 3.91% of the
global market in 2009, up from 3.36% in 2007. On the capacity
addition in the textile sector, he said 9 million additional spindles
have been established during the 11th Plan so far, taking total
spindlage in the country to 48 million spindles as of March, 2011.
Cotton yarn production increased from 2,948
million kg in 2007-08 to 3,510 million kg in 2010-11. Fabric production
also increased from 55,257 million square metres in 2007-08 to
61,057 million square metres in 2010-11, Sharma added.
Earlier a US Department of Agriculture
(USDA) report estimated India's cotton exports to jump by 21%
to 8 million bales in the 2011-12 marketing year (August-July)
on the back of record output and a possibly less restrictive government
policy.
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Cotton Exports May Increase By 21 In 2011 12
Marketing Year USDA (05-Sep-2011)
India's cotton exports in the
current marketing year (2011-12) is projected to increase by 21% to 8
million bales on the back of record production and a possibly less restrictive
government policy, a US Department of Agriculture (USDA) report said.
As per the USDA report, during 2010-11 marketing
year, India exported around 6.6 million bales of cotton. And for the
current marketing year, exports are estimated to be around 8 million
bales. One cotton bale is equal to 170 kg. Further, India's exports
are also seen higher as its cotton output is estimated at a record 35
million bales in the 2011-12 marketing year, as against 33 million bales
last year.
The USDA report also pointed that India, which
is world-s second-largest cotton producers, may adopt less restrictive
export policy to prevent any steep fall in domestic prices due to an
expected increase in production in other cotton producing countries,
especially China. 'While the export situation is uncertain, there are
several factors that point to the possibility of a less restrictive
approach to cotton exports during 2011-12,' the report said.
The report also explained that the India may
go for fewer export restrictions to ensure domestic cotton prices do
not fall below the minimum support price and avoid a situation where
its procuring agency, the Cotton Corporation of India (CCI), is required
to buy large volumes and run the risk of selling at a loss. That apart,
the domestic yarn industry is less likely to push for export controls
due to significant stocks, the report added.
During 2010-11 marketing session, India had restricted
cotton exports at 5.5 million bales and later increased the quota to
6.5 million bales. While the quantitative restrictions on cotton exports
were lifted in August, 2011, the government imposed several other conditions
for obtaining a registration certificate as a means of controlling exports,
the USDA report said.
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Rice Sown In 357 Lakh Hectare So Far (03-Sep-2011)
As per data received from States,
rice has been sown in 357.56 lakh hectare as on 2 September. It represents
an increase of 38.75 lakh hectare over last year's acreage on this date.
Higher area coverage has been reported from West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand,
Andhra Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Tamil Nadu.
Oilseeds have been sown in 174.31 lakh hectare.
Compared to last year, higher area coverage has been reported in Maharashtra,
Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh.
Coarse cereals have been sown in 192.40 lakh
hectare. Compared to last year, higher area coverage has been reported
from Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Jharkhand and Jammu & Kashmir.
Cotton has been sown in 118.37 lakh hectare higher
area coverage has been reported from Gujarat, Rajasthan, Maharashtra
and Haryana.
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Govt May Allow Bangladesh To Export More
Duty Free Garments (02-Sep-2011)
Ahead of Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh's two day visit to Bangladesh, government indicated
that, it may allow Bangladesh to export more duty-free garments
into Indian markets. The Commerce and Industry Minister Anand Sharma
said, 'in April, we had raised the (duty-free) quota from 8 million
pieces to 10 million... There is some more demand and the government
will take a fair view on that.'
Prime Minister will visit Bangladesh for
two days on September 6-7 with the objective of galvanizing bilateral
ties between the two nations. On the demand of Bangladesh for
more duty-free garment exports to India, the Minister said 'It
is true that many of the tariff lines in the textiles sector are
being discussed.'
Bangladesh is pitching for the duty-free
export of 61 items to India, as against the 54 textile items that
are currently allowed. India has kept 61 items in the sensitive
list under the Free Trade Agreement with SAARC a nation known
as SAFTA. This move of India will boost Bangladesh's garment industry
which accounts for 80% of Bangladesh total manufacturing duty-free
access into India.
Earlier, in April, India had increase the
quota for duty free imports of garments from Bangladesh from 2
million pieces to 10 million. The two way trade between India
and Bangladesh stood at $2.6 billion in 2009-10.
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Food Inflation Enters Double-Digit At 10.05%
For Week Ended August 20 (02-Sep-2011)
India's weekly food inflation,
measured by Wholesale Price Index (WPI), stood at 10.05% for the week
ended August 20 up from 9.80% in the previous week. The surge in food
inflation is due to the increase in prices of onion, fruits, vegetables
and protein-based items. This hike in food inflation is expected to put
more pressure on the government and the RBI. However, for the week ended
on August 20, fuel price index moderated to 12.55% from 13.13% of last
week.
As per the data released by Ministry of Commerce
and Industry, the index for `Food Articles` group rose by 1.2% to 195.0
(Provisional) from 192.7 (Provisional) for the previous week due to
higher prices of poultry chicken (5%), fruits and vegetables and fish-inland
(3% each), ragi, jowar, egg and gram (2% each) and fish-marine, moong,
pork and bajra (1% each). However, the prices of barley (1%) declined.
The index for 'Non-Food Articles' group remained
unchanged at its previous weekâ€s level of 181.3 (Provisional).
The items for which the index showed variations are raw cotton (+4%),
coir fibre (+3%), groundnut seed, gingelly seed and fodder (+2% each)
and raw silk (+1%). Flowers (-11%), sunflower (-4%), raw rubber and
gaur seed (-3% each) and castor seed and soyabean (-2% each).
The index for 'Minerals' group rose by 3.1% to
310.8 (Provisional) from 301.6 (Provisional) for the previous week due
to higher prices of copper ore (34%), limestone (19%), zinc concentrate
(18%), steatite (9%), dolomite and bauxite (7% each) and chromite (2%).
However, the prices of magnesite (25%), barytes (22%) and sillimanite
(10%) declined.
As a result, the index for primary articles group
which has the highest weightage of 20.12% in WPI rose by 1.2% to 200.9
(Provisional) from 198.5 (Provisional) for the previous week. The annual
rate of inflation, calculated on point to point basis, stood at 12.93%
(Provisional) for the week ended August 20 as compared to 12.40% (Provisional)
for the previous week.
Meanwhile, the index for Fuel and Power group
which has the weightage of 14.91% in WPI, declined by 0.2% to 166.8
(Provisional) from 167.2 (Provisional) for the previous week due to
lower prices of light diesel oil (3%), aviation turbine fuel and naphta
(2% each) and furnace oil (1%). However, the price of bitumen (1%) moved
up.
The weekly food inflation has entered into double
digit after the gap of five months, despite the anti inflationary stance
adopted by the RBI. This surge in food inflation has increased concerns
for the government. The finance minister Pranab Mukherjee has termed
this surge as disturbing. He said 'Food inflation has gone up... This
is really disturbing. We shall have to ensure and remove the supply
constraints on food items.'
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Union Cabinet Likely To Approve Land Acquisition
Bill By Next Week (02-Sep-2011)
The Government may introduce
the much awaited Land Acquisition, Rehabilitation and Resettlement
Bill 2011, in this monsoon session of parliament as Union Cabinet
is expected to approve the draft bill by next week. To speed up
the clearance process, Minister of Rural Development Jairam Ramesh
met nine cabinet ministers to finalize the draft bill. The cabinet
is expected to meet on September 5, to discuss the bill.
As per the rural development ministry official,
the government has expedited the process to get the land acquisition
bill cleared. It is likely to be tabled in this session and be
cleared in the winter session. After being tabled in parliament,
the land acquisition bill is likely to be referred to the parliamentary
standing committee. Presently, the land acquisition is governed
by an old legislation passed in 1894. As of now there is no central
legislation to mandate compensation norms.
In recent times, the issue of land acquisition
gained importance after farmers†stiff protest
against the land acquisition for development purposes. The new
draft land acquisition bill proposed by the ministry of rural
development, has been heavily favoring farmers and land owners,
by introducing clause to ensure high compensation for land owners.
Besides, the proposed compensation norms mentioned in the draft
bill would be applicable to both government and industry agencies,
who will acquire land for development purposes.
The draft bill also mandates 80% consensus
of the project-affected people for land acquisition by government
and private agencies. Land buyers will have to shell out up to
twice the registration of stamp duty value of land in urban areas
and up to six times in case of rural areas.
The draft bill proposal also includes a
subsistence allowance of Rs 3,000 per family for a year and an
annuity of Rs 2,000 per family per month for 20 years. Along with
this, land owner will get 20% of the appreciation in value of
their land every time their land changes hands for 10 years. The
proposed bill also contains employment provisions.
For the loss of irrigated land, the draft
bill, recommends an acre of irrigated land will have to be provided
as compensation over and above annuity. For tribals, draft bill
had made special proposition, which will get additional 5 acres
of land in case of loss of irrigated land. The proposed bill by
the rural development ministry, also seeks to make compensation
for people whose livelihoods depends on the land being acquired.
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Hike In Policy Rate Is Likely To Push
Up Inflation Through Rise In Input Costs (31-Aug-2011)
IMC expressed its concern
about slowing down of economic growth in the Q1 (April-June) of
FY'12 to 7.7 per cent from 9.3 per cent in the corresponding quarter
of FY'11. If this trend continues or if the slowdown intensifies,
overall economic growth in the FY'12 may turn out to be around seven
per cent as against the Government's earlier target of 8.5 per cent.
In order to arrest this downtrend, some measures-short-term as well
as long-term measures are required on an urgent basis. IMC would
suggest that RBI should not persist with policy rate hikes and the
tight monetary policy, if the growth rate has to be kept at around
7.5 to 8 per cent. Hike in policy rate is likely to push up inflation
through rise in input costs."
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Tax Worth Rs.249 Crore Recovered From
BCCI (31-Aug-2011)
As the income of BCCI was
entirely exempt from tax under section 12A of the Income Tax Act
1961, the question of disclosing low earnings to avoid paying taxes
did not arise. Gross receipt disclosed by BCCI in its tax returns
for the assessment years 2007-08 to 2010-11, are Rs.651.82 crore,
Rs.1,000.40 crore, Rs.1.387.02 crore and Rs. 1,666.84 crore respectively
IPL is a part of BCCI and has no separate legal status.
BCCI amended to objects from 1 June 2006.
During assessment proceedings of BCCI for AY 2007-08, this change
in objects was noticed. Hon'ble Allahabad High Court in the case
of Allahabad Agricultural Institute and Another Vs UOI and others,
had held that once the objects are changed after registration,
fresh registration for tax exemption is required as the earlier
registration does not survive. Taking recourse to this ruling,
the registration granted to BCCI under section 12A of the Act
was withdrawn in December 2009 with effect from 1 June 2006. Consequent
to withdrawal of tax exemption in the assessments completed for
assessment years 2007-08 and 2008-09, tax demand amounting to
Rs.118.04 crore and Rs.257.12 crore has been raised for the two
assessment years respectively. Out of the demand so raised, an
amount of Rs.249 crore has already been recovered from BCCI.
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Disinvestment Of 5% Paid Up Equity Of
Bharat Heavy Electrical Ltd. (31-Aug-2011)
The Cabinet Committee
on Economic Affairs today approved disinvestment of 5% paid up equity
of Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL), a Central Public Sector
Enterprise (CPSE), engaged in execution of heavy engineering / electrical
equipment manufacturing projects.
This is in line with the Government of
India's policy of enhancing people's ownership in the CPSEs and
enabling them to share in the growth and prosperity of these CPSEs.
The Government will disinvest 5% equity in the company, out of
its share holding of 67.72% through book building process in the
domestic market.
The paid up equity capital of the company
is Rs.489.52 crore. BHEL is a listed Central Public Sector Enterprise.
The Government has decided to allow 5% price discount to the retail
investors as well to encourage greater public ownership of the
public sector companies. Ten percent of the shares to be offered
for sale through further public offer shall be reserved for the
employees of the Company. Government has also decided to allow
5% price discount to the employees of the company. After this
disinvestment Government of India shareholding in the company
would come down to 62.72%.
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Solar Power Can Meet 5-7% Power Requirement
By 2021-22 (30-Aug-2011)
A study published by KPMG,
a global consulting company has forecast that solar power can meet
5-7% of India's total power requirements by 2021-22.
India has good potential for solar power
as it receives solar energy equivalent to over 5,000 trillion
kWh per year, which is far more than the total energy consumption
of the country, stated, Minister of New and Renewable Energy Dr.
Farooq Abdullah. He said the daily average solar energy incident
varies from 4 - 7 kWh per square meter of the surface area depending
upon the location and time of the year. The solar radiation is
available at most locations in the country for about 300 days
in a year.
The total installed capacity of grid connected
solar power plants as on date is 45.5 MW. The Government has launched
Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission in January 2010, which
aims to set up 20,000 MW grid solar power by 2022 in addition
to 2,000 MW of off-grid solar power. Deployment of solar power
is, thereafter, expected to increase rapidly due to declining
prices of solar power, indigenization and technology improvements.
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RBI Recommends New Regulations For NBFCs
(30-Aug-2011)
With a view to strengthen
the regulatory and supervisory structure of non-banking financial
companies (NBFCs), the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) working group
headed by former RBI Deputy Governor Usha Thorat has recommended
new regulations for NBFCs. The working group of RBI has recommended
that 'any transfer of shareholding, direct or indirect, of 25% and
above, change in control, merger or acquisition of any registered
NBFC should have prior approval of the RBI.
The NBFC is a non banking institution involved
in the business of receiving deposits or lending to various classes
of consumers. All the NBFCs which raise funds from public are
required to register with the central bank. Reliance Capital,
Bajaj Finance and Shriram Transport Finance are some of the well
known NBFCs.
The proposed guideline also recommended
that the RBI should register only those NBFCs which have minimum
asset size more than Rs 50 crore, whereas NBFCs which are not
raising funds from the public may be exempted from registration
only if their asset is less than Rs 1,000 crore. It also suggested
that the NBFCs have to maintain certain liquidity ratios like
cash, bank balance and holding of government securities fully
cover the gaps, if any, between cumulative outflows and cumulative
inflows for first 30 days.
The working group also recommended introducing
asset classification and provisioning norms for NBFCs in phases
similar to banks. It also recommended bringing in suitable income
tax deduction and accounting norms similar to banks. The group
also proposed to improve a host of disclosure and risk management
norms for NBFCs.
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India's Economic Growth Slows Down To
7.7% In Q1 Of FY12 (30-Aug-2011)
India's economic growth
rate slowed down to 7.7% in the first quarter of 2011-12 as compared
to 8.8% achieved in the same quarter of the previous financial year,
on the back of steady rise in interest rates combined with persistently
high inflation. The lower growth rate has come mainly on account
of construction, which saw an increase of just 1.2% during April-June
2011, compared with 7.7% in the same quarter of last year.
As per the data released by the Central
Statistics Office (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme
Implementation, the decline in GDP growth is due to moderation
in the construction activities which fell to 1.2% in April-June
2011 from 7.7% achieved in April-June 2010. Other sector such
as mining and quarrying (1.8%), manufacturing (7.2%) and community,
social and personal services (5.6%) showed moderation in growth
in April-June 2011. However, sectors like agriculture, forestry
and fishing (3.9%), electricity, gas and water supply (7.9%),
and trade, hotels, transport and communication (12.8%) showed
improvement.
The estimates of GDP for the April-June
quarter of 2011-12 released by the CSO of the Ministry of Statistics
an Programme Implementation said the GDP had grown to Rs 12,26,339
crore in the first quarter (Q1) of 2011-12 as against Rs 11,38,286
crore in the same quarter of 2010-11.
According to the latest estimates available
on the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for the new series,
the index of mining, manufacturing and electricity, registered
growth rates of 1.0%, 7.5% and 8.2%, respectively during Q1 of
2011-12 as compared to the growth rates of 8.0%, 10.3% and 5.4%
in these sectors during Q1 of 2010-11. The estimates of Q1 for
2009-10 and 2010-11 have been revised on account of using new
series of IIP.
The key indicators of construction sector,
namely, production of cement declined by 0.9% and consumption
of finished steel registered growth rate of 1.5%, during Q1 of
2011-12. Among the services sectors, the key indicators of railways,
namely, the net tonne kilometres and passenger kilometres have
shown growth rates of 6.3% and 6.1%, respectively during Q1 of
2011-12.
In transport and communication sectors,
the sales of commercial vehicles, cargo handled at major ports,
cargo handled by the civil aviation, passengers handled by the
civil aviation registered growth rates of 14.1%, 5.2%, 4.9% and
14.6% respectively during Q1 of 2011-12 over Q1 of 2010-11. The
other key indicators, namely, aggregate bank deposits, and bank
credits have shown growth rates of 18.7%, and 21.0%, respectively
during Q1 of 2011-12 over Q1 of 2010-11.
However, the investment in economy have
decline because of increased interest rates, as per the CSO data,
in terms of GDP at market prices, the rates of Gross Fixed Capital
Formation (GFCF) at current and constant (2004-2005) prices during
Q1 of 2011-12 are estimated at 28.4% and 31.2%, respectively,
as against the corresponding rates of 29.2% and 31.4%, respectively
in Q1 of 2010-11.
In terms of GDP at market prices, the rates
of the Government Final Consumption Expenditure (GFCE) at current
and constant (2004-2005) prices during Q1 of 2011-12 are estimated
at 10.5% and 10.4%, respectively, as against the corresponding
rate of 11.1% each in Q1 of 2010-11. In terms of GDP at market
prices, the rates of Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE)
at current and constant (2004-2005) prices during Q1 of 2011-12
are estimated at 58.1% and 60.5%, respectively, as against the
corresponding rates of 58.7% and 61.7%, respectively in Q1 of
2010-11.
The slowdown in the GDP growth rate for
the first quarter of 2011-12 has mainly come from the interest
rate sensitive sectors such as constructions, manufacturing activities
and sectors, which indicate that, nonstop hike in Reserve Bank
of India's short term leading and borrowing rates have adversely
affected the economic growth.
This quarterly decline in the India's GDP
growth, is the slowest in last six quarters, during the January-March
2011, India had achieved economic growth of 7.8%. The government
has also revised downward GDP data from 9.3% to 8.8% for the first
quarter of 2010-11. Another issue of concern is the investment
rate i.e. GFCF also showed the moderation during April-June 2011,
which can have backlog effect on the growth of manufacturing and
other sectors indicating, this slowdown in economic growth may
continue in coming quarters.
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Finance Minister Said Global Uncertainties
Present New Opportunities To India (30-Aug-2011)
In no doubt that the negative
global cues can be transformed to the country's advantage, Finance
Minister Pranab Mukherjee said in the wake of the global economic
uncertainties and the resultant slump in overall investor sentiment,
India could be a source of stability for the world economy and provide
a safe haven for global capital inflows.
Mukherjee said, 'if India can continue
to grow and acquire economic strength, we could be a source of
stability for the world economy and provide safe havens for restless
global capital,' he said while pointing out that it 'would also
enable us to develop even faster and spread the benefits of growth
to the poor and the marginalized.'
Global markets have been severely impacted
by the US rating downgrade by Standard & Poor's (S&P)
and the ongoing debt crisis in the eurozone. However, these negative
developments in the advanced economies had impacted India too,
and remained a cause of concern. However, he argued that they
did open up new windows. 'At the same time, these shocks are markers
of shifting balance in the global economy, presenting new opportunities
for us.'
Stressing on the need of policy reforms
to tackle the current global crisis, finance minister said, 'we
have to be alert to shape real-time policy responses, reform systems,
improve the regulatory framework of our institutions and make
the most of the opportunities coming our way. India's robust performance
in difficult times shows that it could actually come out stronger
from any international financial crisis, he added.
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Private Investment In Foodgrains Storage
(30-Aug-2011)
The Ministry of Consumer Affairs, Food
& Public Distribution has formulated the Private Entrepreneurs
Guarantee (PEG) Scheme to attract private sector investment for
construction of covered storage godowns and to reduce the storage
in cover and plinth(CAP). Under the scheme, the Food Corporation
of India would give a guarantee of ten years for assured hiring
to the private entrepreneurs. A capacity of about 152.97 lakh
tonnes is to be created in 19 states under the scheme through
private entrepreneurs and Central and State Warehousing Corporations.
Out of this tenders have been finalized for creation of storage
capacity of 52.32 lakh tonnes by the private entrepreneurs till
31.07.2011. CWC and SWCs are constructing 5.31 and 15.49 lakh
tonnes respectively under the Scheme, out of which a capacity
of about 3.5 lakh tonnes has already been completed by CWC/SWCs.FCI
would only pay rentals to the Private Entrepreneurs after taking
over the godowns constructed under the scheme.
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Pages17,1,2,3,4,5,6, |
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